Serhiy Kuyun's forecast differs from the one announced in the government.
Fuel shortages at Ukrainian gas stations will persist for at least a month, and the Cabinet will be forced to adjust the calculation of the price of petroleum products, taking into account the rising logistics. Serhiy Kuyun, director of A-95 Consulting Group LLC, said this in a comment to ZN.UA , commenting on fuel prices and whether the deficit will remain.
” After the destruction of the Kremenchug refinery by Russian missiles, the fuel shortage will persist for at least a month until the logistical issues are resolved. Their solution requires, among other things, intergovernmental cooperation, “the expert said. text-align: justify; “>According to him, fuel issues are currently being resolved through Poland, Germany, Romania and Hungary. In parallel, the government should turn to European partners for “fuel” assistance. However, even if these volumes are allocated, there will be a “logistical” problem, “Kuyun said.
According to him, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine has already adjusted the formula for calculating marginal prices for petroleum products. This was due to the need to bring it in line with new market realities, namely – with increased costs for logistics of European petroleum products, which in the current situation are unalterable.
This is a justified step, the expert said, because in April the cost of fuel imports was higher than the established marginal prices, so many traders were forced to give up work or minimize supplies. In particular, this applies to imports by car batches, the cost of which is usually the most expensive in terms of purchase and delivery costs. – he stressed.
As for prices, due to the adjustment of the state regulation system, they will increase by a little more than 2.50 kopecks/liter.
Also in early May, the market will feel the impact of world market growth: in the third decade of April, oil prices rose by more than 10%. This may add another UAH 2.50/l. As a result of the beginning of May, the price of gasoline will increase to UAH 41/l, diesel fuel – to UAH 45-46/l.
” However, it is erroneous to expect that a change in the formula and an increase in prices will quickly remove the issue of deficit, fuel stocks will not automatically increase. The market received at least an economic incentive for future supplies to be made in May. The needs of the market and the most important consumers will be covered, “the expert said.
According to her, the operators already have contracted volumes in Western Europe and now the question of how to import them into Ukraine as soon as possible is being resolved./p>
At the same time, according to Sviridenko, fuel is a little more expensive due to complicated not logistics.
