Be careful not to think in binary terms… Russia is clearly trying to build up its forces after heavy losses, but there is a lack of trust between the Russian political and military classes, notes Jim Hockenhull.
Neither Russia nor Ukraine probably will achieve decisive military action this year, this is his war prediction voiced by the head of military intelligence of Great Britain, Lieutenant General Jim Hawkenhull, the BBC reports. At the same time, the department headed by him closely monitors the potential use of nuclear weapons by the Kremlin.
Rarely has such a large amount of secret intelligence been shared with the public. But since the beginning of War-2022, the British Ministry of Defense Intelligence has been publishing daily updates. Predicting the further development of events in Ukraine, Hockenhull voiced the following theses:
- “We should be wary of thinking in binary terms – that people win or lose – or think that it's hopeless.” has to redeploy part of its troops from Donbas to the south, where, according to him, it is under considerable pressure from Ukrainian forces in and around Kherson”. on the last bridge in the Kherson Region
- “There is a lack of trust between the Russian political and military class”.
- “It is unrealistic to expect a decisive shift in the south in the coming months.”
- Although there will be counterattacks and counteroffensives, he does not believe that either side will take decisive action this year.
- He also expects that the war will be long.
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“On February 23 of this year, General Hawkenhull worked until late at night. He arrived home at midnight on his bicycle and went to bed at about 01:00. An hour later, he received a call and was told that there were some strange signs of activity on the Ukrainian border. Early in the morning (February 24), Hawkenhull already informed the British Prime Minister and the Minister of Defense about the beginning of the largest armed conflict in Europe after the Second World War,” the material describes the intelligence officer's memories of the beginning of a large-scale invasion. How the war began >– read in our news from February 24.
See special topic: In the east, the Armed Forces of Ukraine destroyed a Russian Su-25 attack aircraft. Also, Ukrainian defenders “landed” four UAVs of the Russian Federation. The President of Serbia explained when his country can support EU sanctions against the Russian Federation According to him, Serbia will build its political alliances and is not ashamed of good relations with the Russian Federation, America, China and the EU. The Russian Federation threatens the USA with a “point of no return” if it is recognized as a sponsor of terrorism The representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry called the situation in relations between the countries “turbulent”. Damaged bridges in the Kherson region will remain the main source of vulnerability for the Russian military – British intelligence The Russian Federation uses pontoon crossings as the main way to replenish military supplies. The Russians fired three dozen rockets at Nikopol. The OVA reported whether there were any victims The Kryvorizky district of the region also came under fire.
