The situation can be stopped only if the Russians lose patience or are found guilty of defeating Russia in Ukraine.
Putin is stuck in a dead end and has no way out of it, so he will escalate the situation until the big problems overshadow the previous ones. This was stated on the air of the channel “Ukraine 24” by Russian politician and public figure Maxim Katz.
“Putin is in a rather hopeless situation. He started the war without any goal and is absolutely losing it. It is now clear that it is impossible to achieve anything by military means, not that it looks like victory, but also a neutral result that will save face.” “Therefore, Putin will escalate the situation until the big problems overshadow the previous ones. This is his standard course of action,” Katz said.
The politician stressed that Putin is known for solving problems by creating even bigger problems.
“And where can the escalation be arranged now? tasks, not that NATO, it can not solve any combat tasks even in Ukraine. It has only nuclear missiles. And yes, we can expect that it will use them “- said a representative of Russian politicians.
As for the reaction of the West, now the Western reaction is articulated as harsh. But in fact they pay Putin a billion a day for energy. Now everyone is talking about the cruiser (destroyed by Ukrainian missiles cruiser Moscow, – ed.). This is a great tactical victory That's about $ 750 million. It's one day of money coming from Europe to Russia. Will the West continue to buy oil (in Russia, ed.) after the nuclear strike? I don't know, maybe it will, “he said.
According to Maxim Katz, the incomprehensible consequences of the use of nuclear weapons play against the option of nuclear escalation.
“It is unclear what this will do. The use of nuclear weapons may be with a plan that Ukraine immediately surrenders, as happened with Japan during World War II. But from tactical nuclear weapons used on the battlefield, Ukraine does not capitulate. In the end, what kind of plan is this, “said Maxim Katz.
“If we talk about returning to some normal life in Russia, that Russians lived as a pre-war level, then this will not be worse. But if we talk about the possibility of continuing the war, then it will be infinitely continued. Even if the gas embargo will be introduced, Even if there is no money at all, to make an explosive is not a trick. Even some semi-terrorist states can handle it. Therefore, to support the war, Russia will deal with it for a long time, no matter what sanctions are imposed. 10 or 15, absolutely calm. The question is how much Russian society will be ready to endure all this, “he said.
According to the politician, It will be possible to overthrow the dictator only if the Russians lose patience with the deteriorating quality of life, and to end the war if the culprit in Putin's defeat in Ukraine is found.
In his opinion, Western sanctions can be an effective lever to ensure that Russian society loses patience.
“Only then will Russian society move from an indifferent state to a state that needs to be stopped. As was the case with the Vietnam War, the war in Afghanistan, with Chechnya. Russian society can and will probably change its attitude to this war. People are not ready. to pay with their personal well-being for shooting at Ukrainian cities with artillery. Now they are ready to turn a blind eye to it, “Katz said.
However, regarding sanctions against According to Katz, Putin's dictator is in such a deaf position that he is unlikely to be sensitive to additional financial troubles.
“Inclusion in the sanctions list? What labels have not been attached, all cases (with him, – ed.) Have stopped. I do not think that one label will change the situation and somehow affect Putin,” he said. >
According to the politician, the Russian dictator needs such a scenario when someone is found guilty that the Russian army lost the war in Ukraine.
“He thinks of himself personally. He wants to stay in power with his entourage. What moves can he take now? He has no clear way out to save face. And no one can offer it to him. And he can't go out and say, ' I'm sorry, I'm guilty, we made a mistake, we're withdrawing troops, we live as before. “He can't win, no one is going to make peace with him.
We will remind, on April 18 the head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina declared essential economic problems in the Russian Federation in the second-third quarter of this year . This was Nabiullina's first major statement since Russia's invasion of Ukraine. And a Russian opposition politician, former State Duma deputy Dmitry Gudkov, said that there are forces in Russia that can overthrow Putin. But at the same time, they are clearly waiting for the moment when people will start to hate Putin because of the consequences of sanctions.
