Biden's support level is stuck in the 40% range and has been there for eight months. This threatens the failure of the Democratic Party in the by-elections.
How Joe Biden handles his job as US President is approved by only 41% of Americans, while 56% do not approve. These are the data of the research company Gallup on the popularity of the president in the fifth quarter of the government ( January 20 – April 19). Since the 1950s, only Biden's predecessor, Donald Trump, has had an even lower rating this quarter (39.1% approval).
At the mark above 50% of approval, Biden was in the first two quarters of his presidency. However, surges in new coronavirus cases, the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan, and inflation began to undermine its rating in the summer of 2021.
Biden's low approval rating poses a serious threat to the Democratic Party's chances of retaining a small majority in the House of Representatives and the US Senate in the midterm elections this fall. Although unexpected turns with a sharp rise in the rating can not be ruled out, analysts say.
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In the current state of affairs, given the strong link between the ratings of presidential approval and the results of the presidential party in the by-elections, Biden will likely rule with a Republican majority in one or both houses of Congress next year unless his rating improves dramatically. According to Gallup experts, one way to improve Biden's performance is to restore the support he has lost among key democratic groups such as youth, black adults and adult Latinos. Biden will also need to improve his position among independent politicians so that they vote for congressional candidates from Democrats, not Republicans.
