US intelligence deliberately leaked Putin's plan to invade Ukraine to the media – experts

In January 2022, the Western media published versions of detailed scenarios of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which were fully implemented.

Use of US intelligence data

This was stated by participants in a discussion held on April 15 at the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), according to “Voice of America”.

In particular, the relevant structures of the United States had a sufficient amount of intelligence on Russia's invasion of Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014. However, at that time these data remained almost secret. Therefore, for the general public and even some partners, the events that took place came as a surprise.

Regarding the information about Russia's preparations for the current war with Ukraine, a different approach was initially taken. Significant intelligence data have been classified and made public. -2021 “(August-September 2021) Western experts, the media and diplomats began to actively discuss the possibility of a new aggression in Europe, which Putin planned, as well as his reaction to it.

Since November 2021, there have been official warnings from US authorities that have been persistent since the Kremlin issued an ultimatum on December 17, 2021, demanding that NATO violate its own statute and other deliberately unacceptable actions. . However, each time the US President and Secretary of State stressed that the final decision on Putin's invasion has not yet been made and the possibility of a diplomatic solution remains.

In January 2022, the Western media published versions of detailed scenarios for the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which were later fully implemented. On February 18, five days before the start of the war, President Joe Biden said: “We have reason to believe that Russian troops intend to attack Ukraine next week in the coming days,” he told the Roosevelt Room in the White House. “We believe that they will be aimed at the capital of Ukraine – Kyiv, a city with a population of 2.8 million innocent people.” Asked if he thought Putin was still hesitant, Biden said: “I am convinced that he has made a decision,” and added that his opinion is based on US intelligence.

On February 22, when the final information about the inevitability of a new war in Europe arrived, Joe Biden imposed the first sanctions on Russia and made a detailed statement: “Russia is ready to go much further by launching a massive military attack on Ukraine … This is the beginning of the Russian invasion. ..More than 150,000 Russian servicemen surround Ukraine … Russia has moved troops closer to the border. Russian naval vessels are maneuvering in the Black Sea, including landing craft, missile cruisers and submarines. Russia has stationed stocks of blood and medical equipment at its border. You don't need blood if you don't plan to start a war … None of us should be deceived … Further Russian invasion of Ukraine is a serious threat in the coming days … And there is no doubt that Russia is an aggressor ” .

Less than forty hours before the Russian invasion were uttered by the President of the United States. However, Biden left Putin a chance: “The United States, our allies and partners remain open to diplomacy if it is serious. When everything is said and done, we will judge Russia by its actions, not by its words. “

Timely informing about Russia's intentions, vigorous information and diplomatic dialogue allowed the West to consolidate its position and efforts. As a result, European and world reaction to the war was unexpectedly (for the Kremlin) swift and strong, and world public opinion immediately sided with the victims of aggression. As a result, for the first time in many years, the Kremlin has completely lost the world information field.

John Sipher, CEO of Spycraft Entertainment, a researcher at the Atlantic Council and a veteran of the Central Intelligence Agency's National Clandestine Service, said: “It was a very public exchange of intelligence between the US government. allies and partners. I applaud the intelligence community for taking such an active role. I think it had a positive effect. “

“Obviously, the public use of intelligence data at an early stage should have restrained Putin,” said Seifer. – This was the purpose of declassifying information. It was a crucial moment for uniting the allies and gave us a common situational awareness. Many leaders in Europe and elsewhere did not dare to believe that Putin would attack Ukraine. But regular real-time intelligence has helped prepare the international community and allowed Joe Biden to form a truly strong coalition. ” . They also stressed the effectiveness of Ukrainian intelligence, which “knows the Russians very well.”

Read also: Podoliak: “The idea that Putin's aggression should not be equated with ordinary Russians may become a false trend in Europe”

February 21, 3 days before the Russian invasion, White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki unequivocally stated that Russia continues to prepare for a full-scale invasion of Ukraine that will take place in the near future.

See special topic: span> Spain has its own Ukraine The streets of the village are named after Ukrainian hero cities. One day of invasion of Ukraine cost Russia more than eight years of war in Syria – The Economist Motivation of Ukrainians and the will to win allow to resist the aggressor on the 53rd day. Another Russian general goes after a Russian warship At least 7 Russian generals were killed during a full-scale war in Ukraine. A combat medic died in Mariupol, which drew the world's attention to the catastrophe in the city At the beginning of the invasion, Olena Kushnir lost a loved one, but managed to take the child away. The occupiers want to convert teachers in five regions of Ukraine to Russian educational standards The Ministry of Education and Science has warned educators who remain in the occupied territories that cooperation with the enemy will be considered criminal crime.

Based on materials: ZN.ua

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