The war in Ukraine may become more unpredictable and escalating – US intelligence

As Putin cannot carry out his plans, he can take more radical action.

In the intelligence of the United States of America believe that the war Russia vs. Ukraine is likely to become more unpredictable and escalating in the coming months. This was stated by Director of US National Intelligence Evril Gaines, writes CNN.

According to her, the course of further hostilities is difficult to predict, in part because Russian President Vladimir Putin faces a mismatch between his ambitions and the current capabilities of the Russian army.

“The current trend increases the likelihood that President Putin will succeed to more radical means, including the imposition of martial law, the reorientation of industrial production or the potential escalation of hostilities to free up resources needed to achieve its goals, or if it believes that Russia is losing in Ukraine, “Gaines explained.

< p>At the same time, US intelligence is convinced that Putin will not use nuclear weapons unless he feels threatened by the existence of Russia.

According to Gaines, the president of Russia plans to prolong the war against Ukraine the goals go beyond Donbass. In particular, it is about his desire to maintain control over the Kherson region and pave the land corridor to Transnistria, capturing the Ukrainian Black Sea coast.

“The next month of war will be significant as the Russians try to intensify their efforts,” she added. Director of National Intelligence.

However, the ministry believes that Putin will be able to reach Transnistria only by announcing full mobilization in Russia.

Also, US intelligence does not yet see a viable way to resume talks between Russia and Ukraine.

< Earlier, the head of US National Intelligence Evril Gaines warned that Vladimir Putin could still declare martial law in Russia to begin mobilization, as well as start a war in occupied Transnistria .

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Based on materials: ZN.ua

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