The Russian army will try to impose contact battles on the defenders of Ukraine instead of losing battles in the city.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine is entering the third phase – the Russian military will try to attack in two directions with large forces and impose contact battles on Ukrainian defenders instead of urban ones, in which the Russians are defeated, said Azerbaijani military expert Agil Rustamzade .
Russia is now withdrawing part of its troops from the northern operational zone east of Kharkiv to strike at the OOS forces from above, the expert said in an interview with NV.
“It simply came to our notice then. The Russian army will try to attack in two directions with great force, that is, a complete change of tactics and actions, “he said.
At the third stage, Ukraine is threatened by a symmetrical war, the expert said. Previously, the strategy was asymmetric, the Ukrainian army could protect forces and people, in the third stage it will not work.
“Russia will most likely try to withdraw the Ukrainian army from the cities in order to attack face to face. The Russian army will also try to take advantage of its fire advantage, it has more means of fire destruction and heavy weapons, ”Rustamzade said.
In his opinion, this is quite a serious challenge for the Ukrainian army. There are all signs of preparation for a major offensive, and if the enemy has a fire advantage, the Ukrainian army could be seriously injured.
“To fight effectively, the Ukrainian army will have to conduct a maneuverable defense, avoid contact attacks, avoid fire from the enemy,” said the expert.
Rustamzade believes that the enemy will try to conduct a large-scale offensive operation on the Kharkiv-Mariupol line east of Kharkiv.
“In the direction of the Ukrainian forces of the OOS will be struck by superior forces and, most likely, several blows will be from the so-called” LPR “and” DPR “,” he added.
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According to Ukrainian intelligence, Russia has developed plans for 30 and 60 days since the start of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine . Plans emerged on the second day of the invasion, when Moscow realized that the blitzkrieg was not going according to plan.
During the 37 days of the invasion, the rhetoric of the aggressor's country changed. If earlier it was a question of capture of large cities: Kiev, Kharkiv, Odessa and others, now the purpose of attack on Ukraine is called “liberation of Donbass” .
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