A number of commanders have already been removed from command of the war in Ukraine.
In recent weeks, Russia has fired a number of top commanders who are believed to have worked poorly in the early stages of the invasion of Ukraine. In particular, among the detainees is Lieutenant General Sergei Kisel, who commanded the elite 1st Guards Panzer Army and was unable to capture Kharkiv, British intelligence said in a morning report.
Russian Black Sea Fleet Commander Vice Admiral Igor Osipov was probably also suspended after the sinking of the cruiser “Moscow” in April.
As for Chief of General Staff Valery Gerasimov, he is likely to remain in office, but it is unclear whether President Putin still trusts him.
“The culture of hiding and scapegoats is likely to be prevalent in Russia's military system and security systems. Many officials involved in the invasion of Ukraine are likely to be increasingly distracted by attempts to avoid personal responsibility for Russia's operational failures, “said analysts at the British Ministry of Defense.
This is likely to create an additional burden on Russia's centralized model of command and control, as officers will increasingly delegate key decisions to their superiors.
Latest Defense Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 19 May 2022
Find out more about the UK government's response: https://t.co/qqKi2Uagzx
🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/1JYJHtSWRT
– Ministry of Defense @ (@DefenceHQ) May 19, 2022
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According to The Guardians, citing Western military sources, Vladimir Putin is personally involved in the actions of the Russian army in Ukraine, because takes operational and tactical decisions “at the level of foreman or colonel.”
The Russian military, much more so than the Western military, operates in a top-down vertical warfare. With instructions that are usually sent to generals on the ground. But the invasion of Ukraine forced Moscow to change some of its usual patterns, and the Kremlin began sending generals closer to the front line, where, according to the Ukrainian armed forces, up to 12 such high-ranking officials were killed. strong>
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