According to experts, the Ukrainian command will reinforce the troops in Luhansk region with units withdrawn from the Kherson region and at the same time turn the Russians' activation in Donetsk region to their advantage.
Ukraine, most likely, will resume the offensive from the west Luhansk region and redeploys there the units that were occupied in the right-bank Kherson region. It is also logical to redeploy part of the forces to the Donetsk region, where the Russians are now attacking by mistake and will take advantage of this mistake of the enemy. The Armed Forces of Ukraine are already experiencing some success in Luhansk Oblast and there is no sign of slowing down, because it is currently beneficial only to Russia. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) believes so.
“The SFU is likely to consolidate its control of the west bank, leave enough forces to deter any Russian attempts to cross the river again, and redeploy forces to other areas. A Russian offensive in Donetsk Oblast would require the UDF to divert some of its forces to defend in the area, but the UDF is likely to direct at least some of its renewed combat power or to strengthen its counteroffensive in Luhansk Oblast, the ISW report said. – Ukrainian forces continue to achieve limited success in the Luhansk region and will probably be able to achieve greater success if they are reinforced by troops from the western Kherson region. The Russians are strengthening their defensive positions in the Luhansk region, but the Armed Forces are still moving forward, and there is no reason to predict that poorly trained, poorly equipped, and low-morale Russian reservists will be able to stop the Ukrainian troops, emboldened by their victories.”
Read also : “Russia is here forever”, and they ran away from the Armed Forces in five minutes: the story of locals from Kherson Oblast only for Russia's benefit.
“The Ukrainians will almost certainly continue their counteroffensive operations that are already underway. Both sides are already fighting in very dirty conditions. They are unlikely to stop fighting when winter freezes the ground and makes it even more conducive to large-scale mechanized maneuver warfare. Fighting is likely to intensify as the temperature drops,” experts say.
Instead of letting his troops rest and recover, Putin, under pressure from the pro-war party, will push Russian generals to new offensives. , which is a mistake in such circumstances.
“Napoleon jokingly said: 'Never interrupt your enemy when he makes a mistake,'” experts quote the commander. – This aphorism has never been more true: Ukraine and its supporters should take advantage of Putin's mistake by continuing the counteroffensive under circumstances that are much more favorable for Kyiv than for Moscow.”
Read also: The loss of Kherson caused a split between Putin and ideologues of the “Russian world” — ISW
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We remind you that ISW consider Ukraine's victory in the western Kherson region even more impressive than the September offensive in Kharkiv Oblast.
See special topic: The occupiers fired three rockets in one district of Kharkiv The Russian army also shelled three districts in the Kharkiv region. Zelensky arrived in liberated Kherson The president said that he wanted to support the military and the residents of the city. The Ministry of Internal Affairs explained why Putin still has not released Shoigu A change in the military leadership can provoke problems that the Russian leader does not want to solve, especially at the stage of war. The Armed Forces of Ukraine raised the Ukrainian flag in one more village in the Kherson region: map Ukrainian troops de-occupied 179 settlements in the south. Criticism of the Kremlin's nuclear threats began in China – Reuters In the US, it is believed that Beijing is “surprised and even somewhat embarrassed by the course of the Russian war”.
