The deficit will provoke an increase in commodity prices.
In the near future in Russia is expected a shortage of drugs and non-food products. Russian experts warn about it, Russian mass media write.
Experts reminded that Russia is an import-dependent country. It is no coincidence that in April the Federal Customs Service closed access to data on imports and exports with the wording “to avoid incorrect estimates, speculation and discrepancies.” These NDU HSE reports show that a number of important sectors of the economy are tied to components imported from the EU and the US. Thus, the share of imports in the textile industry, pharmaceuticals, electrical equipment, cars and computers exceeds 50%, in the paper, chemical and metal industries – varies from 30 to 50%.
Basic food products ( sugar, grain, cereals, oil, etc.), most likely, the deficit will not be affected. First, there are no forecasts for the deficit of goods of this category of Russian production, no interruptions are expected. Second, Western sanctions are not aimed at supplying basic products.
But there is a shortage of medicines. Many medicines known on the Russian market are imported. And although about 80% of drugs in sale are analogues (generics) of well-known imported drugs, but some people simply do not fit analogues of imported drugs. On the other hand, this industry depends on foreign components.
There are also several reasons that will stimulate the deficit and rising prices: new logistics chains and supply schemes from abroad; traffic jams; changes in exchange rates; some products have a dual purpose. For example, one major pharmaceutical company told The Bell that the dual-use status threatened a batch of aerosols for the treatment of bronchial asthma: the regulator believed that the dispenser valves and nebulizers needed in the preparation of vials for these drugs could be used to spray chemically hazardous substances during hostilities. That is, shortages and increases in prices for some drugs are more than likely.
Unlike basic food products, the shortage of non-food products in many segments is already forming, and prices are rising. In particular, we are talking about segments: computers and electronics, smartphones – key manufacturers left the Russian market in February and March, rising prices the remaining products became very noticeable; medical special equipment; transport – cars and trucks, many productions in the territory of the Russian Federation are stopped; auto parts, car parts and consumables; textiles and special accessories – most of these products are imported or made from foreign raw materials.
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, which has strengthened the recent strengthening of the Russian currency, has contributed to the growth of foreign exchange supply in the market. However, this may end soon.
