The UK intelligence said that in the current situation, Russia is unlikely to accelerate sharply over the next 30 days.
Russia's offensive in the Donbass has lost momentum and is behind schedule, according to the summary of British intelligence. It is stated that Russian troops remain limited in action due to low morale, reduced military capability and combat capability.
“Russia's offensive in Donbass has lost momentum and is significantly behind schedule. Despite insignificant initial achievements, Russia has not been able to achieve significant territorial gains over the past month, while maintaining a consistently high level of depletion. Russia is now likely to have lost a third of its ground forces in February, the statement said.
According to UK intelligence, such delays are almost certain to be exacerbated by the loss of important factors such as bridge equipment and reconnaissance drones. In particular, since the beginning of the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine, the occupiers lacked bridge equipment, which slowed down and limited the offensive maneuver. At the same time, Russian UAVs are vital for tactical awareness and artillery control, but they have become vulnerable to Ukrainian air defenses.
“Russia's armed forces are increasingly limited to deteriorating capabilities, persistently low morale and declining combat capability. Many of these capabilities cannot be quickly replaced or restored, and they are likely to continue to hamper Russia's operations in Ukraine. Under the current conditions, Russia is unlikely to accelerate sharply over the next 30 days, “added British intelligence.
Latest Defense Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine – 15 May 2022
Find out more about the UK government's response: https://t.co/VBPIqyrgA5
🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦 pic.twitter.com/n6dBVZHAos
– Ministry of Defense @ (@DefenceHQ) May 15, 2022
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