Both sides have suffered too much to agree to any concessions.
Ukraine and Russia will find it difficult to find a diplomatic solution to end the war until the situation on the battlefield changes.
This is the opinion of the American philosopher and professor at Stanford University Francis Fukuyama in an interview with CNBC.
“Both sides have lost too much . Therefore, any concessions necessary for a compromise solution are simply politically unacceptable, “he explained.
Ukraine cannot agree to less than Russia's retreat to the positions it held before the full-scale invasion.
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“If the Russians do not retreat to the positions they held on February 23, before the invasion, I do not see that the Ukrainian president can accept this. Otherwise, it will literally give up Ukrainian territory, “Fukuyama said.
On the other hand, Russia cannot give up the territories it seized during the month of the war.
This will mean that Vladimir Putin started a massive war, suffered massive losses and inflicted massive losses. And in vain. The decision will have to wait for changes on the battlefield, “the American expert added.
In addition to the territorial issue, Russia also wants Ukraine to sign an agreement on its neutrality. Zelensky made it clear that he was ready for this. He also offered Russia a compromise on Donbass. Fukuyama admitted that he could not predict how the current war would end. However, Russia has already been defeated on the northern outskirts of Kyiv.
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“In Moscow, they say they are just regrouping. But, you know, don't be fooled. Ukrainians have indeed destroyed a quarter or a third of the forces that were in Russia, “Fukuyama said.
According to the expert, he is” more optimistic “about Ukraine's chances of winning the war. Because the morale of its troops is much higher.
“The Russians are demoralized, they are throwing away equipment. They don't know what they are fighting for, “Fukuyama said, adding that Russian equipment was in poor condition due to corruption.
He also pointed out that” tens of thousands “of Ukrainians had returned home to fight. for their country.
“They are motivated by a deep sense of patriotism and national identity. I think these are the factors that actually play a big role in determining the outcome of armed conflicts, “said the American expert. Chaly said that security guarantees should be analogous to NATO Article 5. This means that an attack on our state will be considered an attack on all signatories. Chaly also noted that if they agree, our side agrees to permanent neutrality, non-alignment and non-nuclear. But nothing should contradict Ukraine's right to join the EU.
The head of the Ukrainian delegations David Arahamiya told who Ukraine wants to see as signatories of security guarantees. He also said that the document will not apply to the temporarily occupied territories Donbass and Crimea, as there are still unresolved issues regarding them.
Previously in the United States declared its readiness to act as one of the guarantors of Ukraine's security. The same thing was said in Germany and Italy . At the same time, British Deputy Prime Minister Dominique Raab said that London will consider Ukraine's request , but he ruled out accepting the guarantees that NATO countries have.
See special topic: The Atlantic: Neutral Ukraine is a very dangerous idea Even if Kyiv agrees not to enter into a military alliance with the West, Putin dreams of something else. Russia supports in the Ukrainian draft agreement what it demanded before the war, and does not share Arahamia's optimism Medinsky spoke about the readiness of the agreement for discussion by the presidents of Ukraine and Russia. Peskov called Ukraine a “difficult and hostile country to Russia” A fake about “brotherly nations” is cracking at the seams. Italian Foreign Ministry: “Italy is ready to guarantee Ukraine's neutral status” The Italian Foreign Minister said that the country's priority is to continue the negotiation process. Ukraine's position on the peace treaty: Kuleba said that Russia has not yet responded, Lavrov says – are preparing According to Dmitry Kuleba, the position of Russia will be clear whether the Russians continue to speak the language of ultimatums or have moved on to constructive discussion.
