Couldn't pick up the pace: ISW doubts Russians' ability to capture Sloviansk or Bakhmut

The Institute for the Study of War noted that the intensity of Russian attacks now does not differ from those during the so-called “operational pause”

The current pace of the Russian offensive practically does not differ from what it was during the so-called “operational pause”, which the army The Russian Federation took Severodonetsk and Lysychansk after the occupation. Therefore, it is possible that the Russians will not be able to occupy Slovyansk and Bakhmut. This conclusion was made by analysts of the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

“Russian forces launched several limited and highly localized ground attacks on July 21. The current Russian operational pace does not differ significantly from what it was during the officially announced operational pause between July 7 and 16,” the Institute concluded. the troops continued to carry out minor attacks northwest of Slovyansk and around the Siversk and Bakhmut region, without capturing any decisive territory.

Read also: British intelligence spoke about the dilemma faced by the Russian army

In particular, since July 16, Russian troops have continued local attacks east of Siversk, as well as east and south of Bakhmut, but as of July 21, they have not achieved any significant territorial gains in these areas. At most, their offensive slowed down a bit.

“The Russian group northwest of Slovyansk actually carried out fewer ground attacks along the border of the Kharkiv-Donetsk region than during the official operational pause. The lack of successful ground attacks outside the Sloviansk, Siversk and Bakhmut areas is consistent with ISW's assessment that the Russian offensive is likely to end without the capture of Sloviansk or Bakhmut.

Also read: Russia loses over 30 % of the offensive potential of the ground forces – the chief of the defense staff of Britain

Let us remind you that the Russian army got stuck in local battles in small settlements, ISW also reported in the previous review.

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Based on materials: ZN.ua

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