All structures built by the United States after World War II have declined due to Washington's indecision and inconsistency in recent years.
«Are we ready for a new world order? » – Such a provocative title was given to the discussion panel at the ambitious “World Governance Summit” in Dubai. Ever since Vladimir Putin ordered the largest bloodshed in Europe since 1939 on February 24, there has been much controversy.
The tempting conclusion is that if Ukraine survives as an independent, sovereign and democratic country, global forces led by the United States and Europe will gain momentum in the face of the Russian-Chinese axis of authoritarianism, oppression and evil.
According to Atlantic Council Director Federico Camp in an article for CNBC, that sounds good. However, there is another view of the situation.
“Russia's invasion of Ukraine and a series of quarantines in China over COVID-19 seem to have nothing in common. But they are still accelerating the world in a dangerous direction – to divide into two areas, one of which will be centered around Washington and the other – around Beijing, “- said earlier in an article for The Atlantic, Michael Schumen.
However, according to Kemp, his own conversations at the World Governance Summit suggest that such a bifurcated future is unlikely. Participants in discussions in the Middle East have shown that they are not at all interested in abandoning relations with China. It has already become an important trading partner for Saudi Arabia and the UAE. They also want to maintain ties with Russia, which forced the Middle East to reckon with it when it intervened in the war in Syria on the side of the regime of Bashar al-Assad. In addition, Middle Eastern players have lost ground in America's readiness to be a global leader. They also question the competence of the United States, which hastily withdrew troops from Afghanistan last year.
Read also: WSJ: The war in Ukraine has shown that a world order-based order is a myth
“In many years of my travels to the Middle East, I have never seen such a level of frustration of local governments with American politicians. At the same time, they are enthusiastically watching Ukraine. Because Ukraine's victory with the support of a strong and united West will force us to rethink the competence of the United States, as well as change the trajectory of the decline of transatlantic influence. Conversely, Putin's victory, even with very heavy losses among Russians and Ukrainians, will accelerate the fall of the West as a global power, “said the director of the Atlantic Council.
He adds that during the discussion of the “new world order” he quoted former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, who stressed that no “world order” ever existed.
was invented in Western Europe almost four centuries ago during a peace conference in Westphalia. Other continents or civilizations didn't even know it, “Kissinger said.
But over the centuries, the influence of the idea has spread. Given this context, the question is not fatigue, what the new world order will be like, but whether the United States and its allies will be able to stop the loss of the achievements of the last century through Ukraine. This would be the first step in establishing the first truly “global” world order. Former US National Security Adviser Stephen Hadley said this was the fourth attempt to build world order in the last century. The first was made immediately after the First World War with the help of the Peace of Versailles and the creation of the League of Nations. These efforts failed tragically. Instead of peace, the world received European fascism, American isolationism, the global crisis, and the multimillion-dollar victims of the Holocaust and World War II.
After World War II, the United States and its partners were more successful in building what they later called the ». They did this through the Marshall Plan, the creation of many multilateral institutions, such as the UN, the World Bank, the IMF, NATO, the EU, etc.
The third attempt was after the victory of the West in the Cold War. European democracies have been consolidated or restored. NATO has expanded, as has the EU. For a time, it seemed that the rules, practices, and institutions developed by the West after World War II and the Cold War could expand and become international. China has accepted and benefited from this order for some time.
But in recent years, the willingness of US leaders to defend, support and promote this expanded international order has evaporated. American foreign policy leadership has rarely been consistent. But after World War II and until the end of the Cold War, it was just that. And then the inconsistency grew to Barack Obama's “backstage leadership” and Donald Trump's isolationism in the spirit of “America First.” Each of them in their own way deviated from the post-war architecture of US global leadership, built by President Harry Truman.
Read also: Polish Foreign Minister: Escalation around Ukraine could destroy the whole world order
In the Middle East, countries such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE were once Washington's closest allies. But now they are making other bets. In addition to the controversy over Iran, Donald Trump's refusal to recognize his own electoral defeat has cast doubt on the stability of the American political system and the coherence of US foreign policy. In addition, the Middle East does not like the Biden administration now calling the new global rivalry a struggle between democracy and authoritarianism.
“All democratic attempts in the Arab world have become ideological or tribal. So I don't think we can build something like that successfully, “said UAE President Anwar Gargash's diplomatic adviser.
President Joe Biden's decision to launch an unprecedented 180 million barrels of oil from the US Strategic Reserve was a recognition that traditional American partners have refused to help him. OPEC has ignored calls from Western politicians to increase production to curb oil prices. The participating countries also refused to exclude Russia from their organization. Meanwhile, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov visited New Delhi last week to thank India for not joining US sanctions. Brazil, Mexico, Israel, and the United Arab Emirates have done the same. And everything else will be later, “the article reads.
See the topic: The Bucha killings were planned by Moscow and deliberate – Blinken The West is demanding that Russia be held accountable for war crimes. The EU may impose sanctions on Putin's children – WSJ and Bloomberg But this issue is currently being studied. The National Guard has taken over the Chernobyl nuclear power plant The station will also rotate staff: there are still people who have remained in their jobs since the beginning of the occupation. Russian enemy poisoned water in Teronopil region – rocket hit ammonia fertilizers A tank of liquid fertilizers poisoned water in local wells for several days. Text version of Zelensky's speech at the UN Security Council: “Russia turns veto into death” The OP explained today that Bucha is “just the beginning of the truth about the real RF “.
