Dollar exchange rate in Ukraine: analyst predicts “growth trajectory”

The dollar will approach the level of UAH 40.

The dollar exchange rate against the hryvnia may be fixed at around According to Oleksandr Parashchiy, head of Concorde Capital's analytical department, $ 40 per dollar, Interfax-Ukraine reports, citing an online discussion organized by the United States.

six or six months, it will definitely be a growth trajectory… My opinion is that it will be closer to $ 40 UAH/$ 1, “he said.

difficult due to tectonic changes in the structure of the economy due to the war.

He reminded that exports of products have decreased significantly. During the Russian war in Ukraine, the second place in exports after food products is now occupied by IT exports, while previously it was the products of the mining and metallurgical complex. In addition, the NBU's resources are rapidly declining, so the regulator must change its policy.

“Spend a reserve to support a course that has nothing to do with reality. Therefore, I hope for a gradual change in the policy of the National Bank, “said Parashchiy.

At the same time, Parashchiy points to a large” gap “in the balance of payments.

March-April gave gaps in the balance of payments of almost $ 4 billion… This is a huge problem and pressure on the currency… So we still have big gaps in the balance of payments, and it is unclear how the NBU will “treat” them. So we can't talk about the $ 29.25/$ exchange rate, “the analyst said.

Read also: The dollar exchange rate on the black market has gone down

Based on materials: ZN.ua

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